The Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) host the Oakland Raiders (6-6) Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium in a game that carries plenty of playoff ramifications.
The Chiefs, Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers all sit atop the AFC West with identical 6-6 records, and with just four regular-season games remaining, the margin for error is smaller than ever.
Here are 10 stats to know for Chiefs-Raiders on Sunday, presented by DraftKings:
1. Andy Reid is unbeaten against the Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium
Since Andy Reid arrived in Kansas City before the 2013 season, the Chiefs haven't lost to the Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium.
In the four games, the Chiefs have almost doubled-up the Raiders—outscoring them 99 to 50.
Earlier this year, the Raiders beat Chiefs in Oakland, 31-30.
2. Tyreek Hill is still putting up video-game numbers
Last week against the Jets, Tyreek Hill had the best receiving game of his career—hauling in six passes for 185 yards and two touchdowns.
So, as of now, Hill has scored 19 total touchdowns in his career, and he's averaged 50.3 yards per play on those scores. That's a ridiculous number.
For comparison, the next-best player in this area who has at least 19 touchdowns over the last two years is the Steelers' Antonio Brown, who has averaged 19.4 yards per play on his touchdowns over the last two years.
It's proof that Hill is the NFL's most dynamic player. It's math.
3. The Raiders have been susceptible to the big play
Overall, the Raiders defense has allowed 10 touchdowns of at least 20-plus yards this season, which ranks among the most in the league.
On the flip side, the Chiefs have scored the most points in the league from outside the red zone this year with 141.
Another nugget that goes with this stat is that the Raiders' defense ranks 31st in the league when it comes to quarterback rating against the blitz.
Overall, they are allowing an opposing quarterback rating of 114.71 when they blitz, which has obviously led to some big plays.
Maybe Hill will get loose again, after all, he is averaging more than 15 yards-per-reception against the Raiders in his career.
4. It's all about third down
Against the Jets, the Chiefs' defense struggled to get off the field—allowing 13 of 20 third-downs to be converted. That led to a discrepancy in time of possession at 43 minutes for the Jets, to just 17 for the Chiefs, who still managed to average more than 10 yards per play on the day.
But with the defensive guys playing more than 90 snaps in that game because they couldn't get off the field, that takes a toll throughout the day and makes it even more difficult to make a play late in the game because they're tired.
So, it's important heading into Sunday because in the four victories over the Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium under Reid, the Raiders have converted just 26 percent of their third downs in those games.
5. Derek Carr is listed as a "value" play at quarterback in fantasy football this week
According to DraftKings, Carr is one of the "value" picks at quarterback this week at $6,400.
Here's what they said in their "Early player pricing" breakdown for Week 14:
"Carr's expensive for a value option, but he realistically belongs in the top tier of salaries on this slate. He's been solid lately and will be pleased to get back WR Michael Crabtree ($6,700), who essentially missed two full games due to an ejection and suspension, and potentially WR Amari Cooper ($5,800), who missed Sunday's game with a concussion and ankle injury…"
In the first matchup between these two teams back in Week 7, Carr finished 29 of 52 for 417 yards and three touchdowns. Cooper had 11 receptions for 210 yards and two touchdowns.
6. The Chiefs haven't given it away much
Through the first 12 games of the season, the Chiefs are tied for the fewest giveaways in the league with the New England Patriots. Each team has only turned it over eight times this season. The Chiefs have thrown six interceptions and fumbled it twice.
Overall, the Chiefs' plus-six turnover differential ties them for seventh-best in the league.
The Raiders rank last in the league with just nine takeaways this season.
7. The Raiders' offense—the basics
QB - Derek Carr – 244 of 379 (64.4 percent) for 2,731 yards with 17 TDs and 8 INTs.
RB – Marshawn Lynch – 140 carries for 558 yards (4.0 ypc) with six touchdowns
WR – Michael Crabtree – 42 receptions for 502 yards with six touchdowns
WR – Amari Cooper – 42 receptions for 499 yards with five touchdowns
TE – Jared Cook – 43 receptions for 546 yards and one touchdown
8. Alex Smith chucking it deep better than anyone in the league
Alex Smith continues to lead the league with a quarterback rating of 124.8 on passes that travel at least 21 yards in the air.
He's 263 yards passing away from setting a career-high, and he needs just one more touchdown pass to set a career-high as well.
Smith is 9-2 in his career against the Raiders, completing 64 percent of his passes and an 8.21 yards per attempt average with 22 touchdowns and four interceptions.
9. The Raiders are good in the red zone
The Raiders come into Sunday's game as the second-best team in the league when it comes to red zone efficiency, which is the percentage of offensive drives that get inside an opponent's 20-yard line that result in a touchdown.
The Raiders are scoring touchdowns 66.7 percent of the time.
10. Travis Kelce is the top tight end in fantasy this week
According to the DraftKings’ player rankings this week, Kelce is listed as the No. 1 tight end.
He's coming off a strong performance last week against the Jets, finishing with four receptions for 94 yards and two touchdowns. It was the first multiple-touchdown game for the All-Pro tight end in his career.
Furthermore, last week against the New York Giants, the Raiders allowed rookie tight end Evan Engram to finish with seven catches for 99 yards and a touchdown.
Kelce, who picked up his career-best sixth touchdown reception of the year last week, is just 129 yards shy of his second-consecutive 1,000-yard season.
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